Outlast Pool

Cowboys Survivor Pick: Tyler Smith Return Could Lift Dallas

Oct 6, 2026

Tyler Smith eyeing a return to the Cowboys line

Dallas could get a lineman back, and it matters for the offense. Per the latest Cowboys news, Tyler Smith's possible return would give the unit a boost heading into Week 5. The Cowboys host Tampa Bay on Thursday night (kickoff just after midnight UTC on Oct. 9) as a 3.5-point favorite — their only narrow home edge in a stretch that quickly turns ugly.

What it means for your survivor pick

A healthier line is good news, but a 3.5-point home spread is thin for survivor pool purposes. Favorites that small win closer to a coin flip than a lock, so Dallas as a Week 5 pick is more of a dart throw than a safe pick — the Tyler Smith update nudges confidence up without changing that math. Just as important is what's coming: Dallas goes on the road at Green Bay (Week 6, GB -3) and at Philadelphia (Week 7, PHI -3) as an underdog both times, so don't burn the Cowboys now expecting to lean on them next. The cleaner spot is Week 8, when Dallas hosts Arizona as a double-digit (-10.5) home favorite. If your survival math lets you wait, that's the game to circle. Need other options this week? Browse more survivor analysis before you lock anything in.

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